Our base case puts Solana at $138.29 by Oct 2027 and $261.99 by Oct 2031, starting from $106.90 when this forecast was made. It comes from TokenSonar's own model and uses only the institutional news we track on this site, Solana's adoption score and market mood. It is not taken from any other forecaster.
Next 12 months, month by month
Line: base case. Shaded: bear to bull range (about two in three outcomes fall inside it under our model).
| Date | Bear | Base | Bull | Base vs now |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2026 | $93.23 | $109.53 | $128.67 | +2.5% |
| Dec 2026 | $89.36 | $112.22 | $140.93 | +5.0% |
| Jan 2027 | $86.96 | $114.95 | $151.94 | +7.5% |
| Feb 2027 | $85.26 | $117.67 | $162.40 | +10.1% |
| Mar 2027 | $83.97 | $120.38 | $172.58 | +12.6% |
| Apr 2027 | $82.94 | $123.06 | $182.59 | +15.1% |
| May 2027 | $82.08 | $125.70 | $192.49 | +17.6% |
| Jun 2027 | $81.35 | $128.30 | $202.34 | +20.0% |
| Jul 2027 | $80.71 | $130.86 | $212.16 | +22.4% |
| Aug 2027 | $80.14 | $133.37 | $221.97 | +24.8% |
| Sep 2027 | $79.62 | $135.85 | $231.78 | +27.1% |
| Oct 2027 | $79.15 | $138.29 | $241.62 | +29.4% |
Five-year outlook, year by year
Line: base case. Shaded: bear to bull range. The range widens with time because uncertainty compounds.
| Date | Bear | Base | Bull | Base vs now |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2027 | $79.15 | $138.29 | $241.62 | +29.4% |
| Oct 2028 | $75.43 | $166.06 | $365.58 | +55.3% |
| Oct 2029 | $73.93 | $194.33 | $510.83 | +81.8% |
| Oct 2030 | $73.98 | $225.84 | $689.42 | +111% |
| Oct 2031 | $75.23 | $261.99 | $912.36 | +145% |
The news driving this forecast
The forecast weighs 7 institutional news items about SOL from the last 12 months. These had the most weight this week:
- Solana Spot ETF Launches in Hong Kong with 0.60% FeeLifts outlook · etf · The Defiant · 2026-10-12
- Solana ETFs attract record $188 million weekly inflows as institutional adoption accelerates.Lifts outlook · etf · CoinDesk · 2026-09-28
- Ledger Launches Atom Android Device with Solana Mobile Integration.Lifts outlook · partnership · The Block · 2026-10-15
- Blockchain.com launches crypto options trading while pursuing US derivatives licenses. Platform now offers BTC, ETH, SOL, HYPE, AVAX, XRP, and TRX options with weekly expiries.Lifts outlook · license · The Block · 2026-10-20
- Ethereum staking hits record 43.8M ETH (36% of supply) as Solana staking also reaches new highs.Lifts outlook · news · The Block · 2026-10-20
- Solana's Alpenglow network overhaul goes live, replacing voting system since 2020. Major upgrade targets 150-millisecond finality after extensive testing.Lifts outlook · news · CoinDesk · 2026-10-21
What changed this week
This is the first weekly forecast for this coin. From next week each revision will be compared here against the previous one.
| Revision | Price then | 12-month base | 5-year base | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-23 | $106.90 | $138.29 | $261.99 | 0.55 |
How this number is built
Solana scores 82/100 for institutional adoption, which sets a yearly drift of 14.8%. Recent news and ETF status add a catalyst of 18.4% that mostly plays out within nine months. Market mood adjusts the next few months by -2.6%. The range uses a yearly volatility of 56%. Full method.